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2016 Oregon LTC State Report

www.ohca.com

4

Oregonians in Long Term Care

Each day, over 70,000 Oregonians receive care in long term care

communities across the state, and that number will grow as Oregon’s

population continues to age.

Oregon’s population is aging at a record pace. In 2015, 645,031 Oregonians

were 65 years of age or older, and, of that, 84,668 were 85 or older—the age

group most likely to need care. By 2035, there will be an estimated 173,634

Oregonians over the age of 85.

9

The changing demographic profile of Oregon presents great opportunity

as well as a need for the state to better prepare for the challenges that an

older population presents.

Healthy Aging

Overall, older adults in Oregon are some of the healthiest, and those 65

and older have the 2nd lowest rate of physical inactivity in the nation. A

physically active population generally translates to a healthier population.

In addition, a larger number of Oregonians 65 and older report their health

status as excellent or very good compared to their counterparts in other

states, ranking 6th in the nation in terms of health status.

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However, this

means that in Oregon, those needing long term care services and supports

are typically older and in poorer health than those in other states.

Chronic Health Conditions

Oregon’s prevelance of Alzheimer’s disease and dementia is similar to that

of the rest of the nation. In Oregon, as in other states, chronic conditions

such as Alzheimer’s disease and dementia are a significant driver of the

need for long term care services and supports. Approximately 62,000

Oregonians currently have a diagnosis of Alzheimer’s or dementia.

11

This

number is projected to grow significantly. By 2025, over 84,000 Oregonians

will have a diagnosis of dementia—a 40% increase in just ten years.

12

RIGHT NOW, 1 IN 8 OREGONIANS ARE 65 AND OLDER.

BY 2035, THIS NUMBER IS EXPECTED TO GROW TO 1 IN 5.

9. Office of Economic Analysis (2013)

Long-Term Oregon State’s County Population Forecast, 2010-2050.

Salem,

OR: Office of Economic Analysis. www.oregon.gov/das/OEA/Pages/ forecastdemographic.aspx.

10. United Health Foundation (2016)

America’s Health Ranking

®

Senior Report 2016.

United Health Foundation. May

2016.

11. Alzheimer’s Association (2016)

2016 Alzheimer’s Disease Facts and Figures.

Accessible here:

www.alz.org/

documents_custom/2016-facts-and-figures.pdf.

12. Ibid.

Percent of Residents

with an Alzheimer’s or

Dementia Diagnosis

by Service Setting

MEMORY CARE

96%

ADULT FOSTER HOMES

49%

RESIDENTIAL CARE

35%

ASSISTED LIVING

29%

SKILLED NURSING

20%

Source: Carder, P., Kohon, J., Limburg, A.,

Zimam, A., Rushkin, M. and Neal, M. (2016)

Oregon Community-Based Care Resident and

Community Characteristics Report: Assisted

Living, Residential Care, and Memory Care.

Portland State University. Spring 2016; Mendez-

Luck, C., Luck, J., Larson, A., and Alvarado, C.

(2016)

The State of Nursing Facilities in Oregon,

2015.

Corvallis, OR: OSU College.